Total Reward: US$12,000 Start: Dec 1, 2020 | End: Nov 1, 2021 or later Sponsor: Microprediction


In general, you will notice that some streams have dollar signs attached to them. 

Specifically, Offcast Goose (full identity 0ffca579005ef5d8757270f007c4db76) is the creator of numerous electricity streams and those will count towards a recurring prize for electricity prediction. Beginning Dec 1, 2020 and continuing on a monthly basis, $1,000 will be awarded to whomever is atop the leaderboard. The leaderboard will be shrunk periodically towards zero so that by the end of the month there will be some recency bias. 

For this contest, it is not required that you open source your code. However doing so will increase the chance of your winning prizes in other categories, such as general contribution to the project. 

These prizes are typically for ongoing business needs and, therefore, you may anticipate that the stated aggregate reward may be an underestimate. Typically running prizes persist for at least three or four months and this is no exception. It may continue indefinitely. 

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General Rules

You may find complete contest rules here.

  • Only one prize awarded per person, per category, per month.
  • To qualify for open-source awards, authors must write and post an article explaining their approach.
  • To qualify for Microprediction awards authors must complete a profile.
  • Prizes are awarded on a calendar-month basis, with the first month May 2020. Performance is not the only criterion, but to the extent that it applies, performance has some recency bias. 
  • Performance for a particular award is judged by performance of one write_key, and cannot be aggregated across multiple write_keys.
  • Some contests require code to be open sourced. To qualify for open-source awards, all code must be made open source and remain so. Awards will be paid only after code has been made available for a period of one month. Algorithms made open source near the end of the calendar month may qualify for an award in the next month at the sponsor's discretion - especially if they prove influential. It is strongly recommended that code be made available through Github  and PyPI and this will factor into the assessment of reusability.
  • Winners will be notified using contact information provided on their profile.
  • To qualify for open source awards, software must be released under a permissive license such as MIT, BSD or Apache.
  • To receive prize money, participants must reside in one of the countries in which Paypal operates.

Behavior judged to be counter to the spirit of this community may result in write_key blacklisting and other measures.